Marathon Pace Strategy: How to Not Blow Up at Mile 20
Most marathon horror stories start the same way: “I felt amazing through halfway…” The problem usually isn’t fitness – it’s pacing.
A smart marathon plan is less about heroic splits and more about boringly even pacing with a small negative split if the day cooperates.
Step 1: Set a Reality‑Checked Goal
Use a recent 10K or half‑marathon and plug it into the Race predictor. That predicted marathon time will often be optimistic, so add a small buffer – especially if it’s your first 26.2.
Step 2: Break the Race Into Pieces
- Miles 1–6: “Easy‑easy.” You should feel like you’re holding back.
- Miles 7–20: Settle into steady effort and fueling rhythm.
- Last 10K: Spend whatever’s left.
Going out even 10–15 seconds per mile too fast early can turn the final 10K into a survival shuffle.
Use Pace Bands and Calculator Checks
Create a pace band or notes based on the goal pace you pull from the Pace calculator. If the course is hilly, adjust individual mile goals instead of forcing identical splits.
Fuel Like It Matters (Because It Does)
Many “pace problems” are actually fuel problems. If you run out of carbohydrates at mile 18, the brakes come on no matter how perfectly you paced the first half.
Practice race‑day fueling in your long runs: same products, similar timing. Then execute that plan on race day even if you “don’t feel like you need it yet.”